SELECTIONS BY DAVE SINGH
DOVER DOWNS
RACE 1: #4 NANTUCKET RED
RACE 2: #2 A FARMBOYS SUCCESS (BET AGAINST FAVORITE)
RACE 5: #3 PROPER ONE (BET AGAINST)
RACE 8: #2 TOTALLY KISSED (VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY)
RACE 10: #1 FEEL LIKE A FOOL
RACE 11: #3 LEE IS A STAR
RACE 1: NANTUCKET RED was as impressive as can be last time out on his first start back in 9 months as he was able to brush his way to the top through a fast opening half. Today he will more fit on 2nd start back and will look to make it 2 for 2 in his 2017 campaign. The Callahan Team has this Real Artist son headed into the right direction, as a bright future is in store for him. ASCARYONE HANOVER is one that gets post relief and will be NANTUCKET RED's biggest danger. However, CALLAHAN will follow same strategy as last time out - brush and crush. Bet NANTUCKET RED at 3.0 (2/1) price range.
RACE 2: A FARMBOYS SUCCESS is a BET AGAINST today as he makes his first start against winners for the first time. Last time out this one was able to get away with slow fractions in a a very soft maiden spot, and now today faces a tough field. The 3 outside horses in here will have a big say in this race and the value here is with the BET AGAINST of the favorite at 2.0 (1/1) price range. If A FARMBOYS SUCCESS will be on the lead today, it will much faster fractions with pressure, and thus, the lay will be a good option here against the favorite.
RACE 5: PROPER ONE is a BET AGAINST as he is only one of two 3 y.o horses facing older. PROPER ONE does not have enough gait speed to be on the lead, and probably will be sitting 3rd or 4th on the rail. Therefore , in all likelihood he will have to come first over to beat these, and he is just not that good enough early in his career to do so. I expect Poliseno to save ground and pickup a check, while this one gains valuable race experience. BET AGAINST today at 5.0 (4/1) odds range.
RACE 8: TOTALLY KISSED at 5.0 (4/1) morning line price is excellent value for one with as much of a class edge as him. In addition, he gets an inside draw and is due for his first win in 2017. This Teague family connection will have him ready to fire a big effort today. Take the 5.0 (4/1) price with a big smile as this one will be hard to beat in this group. His main danger, TOMY TERROR has the rail and Kirby. TOTALLY KISSED with the drop and some gait speed, should capitalize on his draw and be on the engine, however, If not, at worst should be sitting a pocket trip behind TOMY TERROR .
RACE 10: FEEL LIKE A FOOL is taking a big drop in class this afternoon and gets Corey in the bike - a combination that usually spells trouble for the rest of the field. This Robert Clark trained 9 year old has failed to make a splash for 2017, but has seen some tough fields. He was beaten by Go Collect, Galic Beach, Stedy Warr - all of whom would be odds on in this spot and win by 5 lengths minimum against this field. With the rail, the class drop and pick up of Callahan in the sulky, this one is a bet at 3.0 (2/1) price range.
RACE 11: LEE IS A STAR got a much needed win last week and now comes right back in the same class for the Morgan/Davis team. This son of Matt's Scooter should follow the same formula as last time out, go out on the lead and take the field wire to wire. For another horse to step up and beat him today, would require a big effort, as LEE IS A STAR has the class edge over these in a big way. WINTER NIGHT and UP UP AND OUT are two that could round out the triple here, as they are the main danger for LEE IS A STAR.
EXOTIC PLAY #4NJBets:
Race 8 $0.50 pick 4:
Race 8: 2
Race 9: 1,3,5,6,7,9
Race 10: 1
Race 11: 3,4,6
total = $9